Dilin Wu
Research Strategist
Most recent articles
Gold Outlook: Ceasefire Collapses, $4,000 in Sight, CPI and Warsh Testimony in Focus
Gold's rebound was cut short last week as the U.S.-Iran situation deteriorated sharply, with the ceasefire breakdown and rising oil prices reigniting inflation fears and sending gold to a weekly loss. This week, U.S. CPI data and Warsh's congressional testimony are the key catalysts — and could determine whether gold can break out of its current range.
Oil Spikes, Then Retreats: Markets Bet on No Real Supply Hit
After Trump declared at the NATO summit that the ceasefire was "over," the US and Iran quickly resumed military action. Under conventional logic, escalating geopolitical tensions typically mean a higher risk premium for oil. Yet this time, prices gave back their gains almost as quickly as they rallied. The market's focus has shifted from the geopolitical event itself to whether it will translate into a genuine supply shock.
Gold Outlook: Jobs Miss Fuels the Rally — CPI Could Be the Real Turning Point
Gold has snapped a seven-week losing streak, with soft nonfarm payrolls and a subtle shift in the Fed's hawkish tone igniting a recovery against a backdrop of steady central bank buying. Inflation concerns haven't gone away and rate-hike expectations remain on the table. July 14 — when CPI and Warsh's congressional testimony land on the same day — could prove to be the real turning point.
Gold Outlook: $4,000 Is the Line — Doha, Warsh, and Payrolls to Decide
Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, with rate headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty keeping prices under pressure around the $4,000 level. This week brings a dense cluster of risk events — the U.S.-Iran Doha talks, Warsh's Sintra debut, and the nonfarm payrolls report — any one of which could determine whether gold has the foundation to stabilize.
Bitcoin Falls Below $60K: Buyers Step Back — Three Variables to Watch
Bitcoin has broken below $60,000 for the third time this year, as a hawkish Fed pivot, pressure on Strategy's financing model, and seven consecutive weeks of ETF outflows erode bullish support one pillar at a time.
Gold Outlook: Hawkish Fed Caps the Upside — Core PCE in Focus
Gold is under pressure for a third consecutive week, with hawkish Fed signals and geopolitical whipsaw continuing to weigh on bullish momentum. This week, developments in the Middle East and U.S. core PCE release could prove to be the key variables shaping gold's near-term direction.
Nikkei 225 Hits All-Time High: Can AI, Yen Weakness, and Earnings Sustain the Rally?
The Nikkei 225 has broken through the 72,000 level and set a new all-time high. Expanding AI capital expenditure, a weaker yen, and improving global risk sentiment have all combined to drive Japanese equities higher.
BOJ Hikes to 1%: The Decision Has Landed — but the Real Trade is Just Getting Started
The Bank of Japan has raised rates to a 31-year high. With Deputy Governor Uchida's press conference still ahead, markets are watching for signals on the yen, carry trade risks, and what the Fed does next. USD/JPY may be approaching a critical inflection point.
Gold Outlook: Peace Deal Sparks Rebound — All Eyes on the Fed
Gold has staged a rebound from near $4,000, though the move looks more like a sentiment recovery than a genuine trend reversal. As the U.S.-Iran peace deal advances, the market's primary focus is rapidly shifting from geopolitical risk to Fed policy. This week's FOMC meeting — and Warsh's first public statement as Chair — could prove to be the defining variable for gold's near-term direction.
Gold Outlook: All Eyes on CPI as Geopolitics Stall
Gold remains rangebound as markets await key U.S. CPI and retail sales data for direction. This weekly analysis explores XAUUSD technical levels, inflation outlook, Fed policy expectations, and the impact of stalled U.S.-Iran geopolitical talks on gold’s next move.
Gold Outlook: Geopolitical Tailwinds Fading, Nonfarm Payrolls Could Be the Deciding Factor
Gold remains rangebound and tilted to the downside, as geopolitical tailwinds gradually lose their potency and interest rate headwinds persist. This week, markets will closely watch the U.S. ISM Services PMI and the nonfarm payrolls report — both could prove pivotal in determining gold's next directional move.
Apple Q2 26 Earnings Review: Record Quarter, but Growth Quality Under Scrutiny
Apple’s Q2 FY26 earnings beat estimates with strong guidance, but rising costs and leadership uncertainty put Apple’s growth quality under scrutiny.
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1. Data for the Pepperstone Group, correct as at October 2025.